Go Finian !!!!

Begin forwarded message:

From: jwright <jwright@surfbvi.com>
Date: October 2, 2010 4:51:04 PM GMT-04:00
Subject: Go Finian !!!!



02.10.10 - by: Paul Griffiths

Colgate World Cup Sylt

DAY 8 - FINIAN MAYNARD AND ANTOINE ALBEAU STOLE A BULLET A PIECE ON THE RACECOURSE TODAY, WHILST FREESTYLE WORLD CHAMPION, JOSE ‘GOLLITO’ ESTREDO POPPED AND STYLED HIS WAY TO VICTORY IN AN EVENING TOW-IN EXTRAVAGANZA!

On the penultimate day of competition, the crowds gathered on Sylt’s iconic golden sands witnessed two full rounds of spectacular racing throughout the afternoon, and saw two new race winners emerge from the mist.

The gusty offshore breeze once again proved tough for the world’s top ranked racers to tame, but with the help of a few caddies, and some patience from the race crew, everyone had a fair chance of choosing the right gear to match the conditions they were dealt during their heat. With gusts of twenty-five knots and lulls of fourteen, the wind tested the sailors skills to their maximum, and with a nastier chop than yesterday mistakes were easily made at the marks.

To add to the chaos, during the second race heavy rain moved in, and this coupled with board speeds of over 30 knots and temperatures of around 10 degrees created extremely harsh conditions for the racers to endure, many of whom are used to champagne sailing throughout the rest of the year!

Albeau’s Afternoon

After a disappointing previous day – for him - the current world tour leader, Antoine Albeau (JP, NeilPryde) fought back with a vengeance this afternoon to claim a second in the fourth race of the series, and more importantly, a bullet in the fifth to end the afternoon on a high, hoping for much of the same tomorrow.

Albeau’s second race final was by far the most impressive, not least because he won, but because he hit the pin end at full speed, and although not the first to cross the line, stamped his authority on the star-studded fleet with tremendous speed that saw him to the first gybe in pole position. From there on it was back to business for the modern day slalom champ, who led the fleet around the course in his usual dominant fashion.

His results from today have helped him to close the gap on event leader, Bjorn Dunkerbeck (Starboard, Severne, Mystic), and two more bullets for the five times world champion could see him steal the show on the final day!

Finian’s Final

In the first race of the day Sylt’s many spectators saw a new character claiming line honours in the form of 2009 overall rankings runner up, Finian Maynard (RRD, Gaastra). Following a successful second day of racing yesterday, having enlisted the help of British Wave Champion and RRD team manger, John Skye (RRD, MFC) for a small fee, the Irish blooded British Virgin Island resident shot right up the rankings. Maynard’s caddy commented, “My boss has done an amazing job on the water today, but I’d have to say some of that success is clearly down to the team behind him (me). Just look at the results, I’ve helped him go from 30th to 3rd in the space of two days!” Maynard replied, “John’s help has been invaluable over these past two days, but he really needs to work on his slalom technique!”

Early pearly coming in...very still right now..eye eye captain,it is so still here,no 40 knots,soon come methinks

Sunday, August 29, 2010 20:01PM PDT - Earl starting to batter the Islands
Here he comes... Earl is now a Category 2 hurricane, packing 100 mph winds. Some strengthening is still expected, and might become a major hurricane tomorrow. The center of the storm is now only 50 miles from Barbuda and about 130 miles from St.Martin, it just didn't want to turn north soon enough. But as we all (should) know, a hurricane is not a point, just take a look at the above satellite image. Hurricane conditions are expected starting early tomorrow morning in the northern Leeward Islands, especially for the islands of Anguilla, St.Martin and St.Barths. On the right you can find the links to reports by the special hurricane correspondents on the islands. Above use the tools to see how close the storm is or how close it can get (Closest Point of Approach). Stay safe everybody! -Gert

000
WTNT42 KNHC 300236
TCDAT2
HURRICANE EARL DISCUSSION NUMBER  19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072010
1100 PM AST SUN AUG 29 2010

EARL HAS STRENGTHENED OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS.  THE AIR FORCE
HURRICANE HUNTERS RECENTLY FOUND AN SFMR-MEASURED SURFACE WIND
SPEED OF 83 KT JUST SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER.  MAXIMUM FLIGHT-LEVEL
WINDS FROM THE AIRCRAFT WERE 93 KT...WHICH ADJUSTS TO 84 KT AT THE
SURFACE USING THE STANDARD REDUCTION FACTOR.  BASED ON THESE
OBSERVATIONS...THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS SET TO 85 KT.  IMAGES FROM
THE GUADELOUPE AND ST. MARTIN RADARS SHOW A BANDING-TYPE EYE ABOUT
30 N MI IN DIAMETER WHILE THE RECONNAISSANCE OBSERVATIONS INDICATED
THAT THE EYE WAS OPEN OVER THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT.  WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS BEING IMPEDED OVER
THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT...BUT IS WELL ESTABLISHED OVER THE REMAINDER
OF THE CIRCULATION.  A BROAD UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IS CURRENTLY
SITUATED TO THE NORTHWEST OF EARL.  GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD
AGREEMENT THAT THIS TROUGH WILL SHIFT WESTWARD AND WEAKEN.  THIS
SHOULD CREATE A ENVIRONMENT CONDUCIVE FOR INTENSIFICATION AND THE
OFFICIAL FORECAST...LIKE THE PREVIOUS ONE...SHOWS EARL BECOMING A
MAJOR HURRICANE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO.  THE NHC WIND SPEED
FORECAST IS ABOVE THE INTENSITY MODEL CONSENSUS BUT BELOW THE
LATEST GFDL HURRICANE MODEL GUIDANCE.

INITIAL MOTION...285/13...IS ABOUT THE SAME AS IN THE PREVIOUS
ADVISORY.  A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHWEST IS LIKELY TO TAKE PLACE
IN 24 TO 36 HOURS AS THE HURRICANE ENCOUNTERS THE WESTERN PERIPHERY
OF A MID-TROPOSPHERIC ANTICYCLONE.  BY DAYS 3 TO 4...THE HEADING
AND FORWARD SPEED OF EARL ARE DEPENDENT ON THE DETAILS OF THE
EVOLUTION OF A 500 MB TROUGH MOVING THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES.  THE
GFS AND ECMWF SHOW THIS TROUGH AMPLIFYING MORE THAN THE OTHER
DYNAMICAL MODELS AND MOVE EARL SIGNIFICANTLY FASTER TO THE
NORTH-NORTHEAST WITH A SHARPER EASTWARD TURN THAN THE OTHER
GUIDANCE.  THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS NOT QUITE AS FAST AS THE
GFS AND ECMWF...BUT IS CLOSE TO THE MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS.

THE FORECAST WIND RADII HAVE BEEN EXPANDED A LITTLE BASED ON
DYNAMICAL...MAINLY GLOBAL MODEL...GUIDANCE.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL      30/0300Z 17.9N  61.1W    85 KT
 12HR VT     30/1200Z 18.5N  62.7W    90 KT
 24HR VT     31/0000Z 19.6N  64.6W   100 KT
 36HR VT     31/1200Z 21.1N  66.4W   110 KT
 48HR VT     01/0000Z 22.8N  68.2W   115 KT
 72HR VT     02/0000Z 27.5N  71.5W   115 KT
 96HR VT     03/0000Z 34.0N  72.0W   100 KT
120HR VT     04/0000Z 40.0N  67.0W    85 KT

$$
FORECASTER PASCH

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